Washington, DC, July 20--Indicating that single-family home builders remain largely upbeat regarding conditions in the new-homes market, the monthly National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) edged down a single point to a strong 67 in July – still two points above its year-earlier level.
“Home sales continue to run hot this summer, and most builders don’t see a slowdown on the horizon,” said NAHB President Bobby Rayburn, a home and apartment builder from Jackson, Miss.
“Long-term mortgage rates subsided back to around 6.0 percent during the HMI survey period, and this likely contributed to builders’ optimism,” explained NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders. “Beyond that, the continuing robust rate of home-price appreciation, high level of new household formations and perceptions of an improving economy are also helping drive the market.”
The NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI is derived from a monthly survey of builders that NAHB has been conducting for nearly 20 years. Home builders are asked to rate current sales of single-family homes as “good,” “fair” or “poor”. They are also asked to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.”
Scores for responses to each component are used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index, where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
