Industry Panel on the Builder Market - Dec 2009
No flooring market has been hit harder
than the builder sector, especially the single-family segment. Not surprisingly,
the contractors who provide the flooring for the new residences, both
single-family and multi-family, have had to get creative and cut
expenses.
We invited a panel of flooring contractors, all members of FEI
Group (formerly FloorExpo), the leading group of flooring contractors serving
the residential builder market, to answer a series of questions about the state
of the industry and how they are adapting. The contractors include two from
FEI’s Multifamily Solutions—Denny Thostrud, president of American Drapery, Blind
& Carpet of Renton, Washington; and Ken Hilton, president of GB Sales of San
Diego, California—and two from the Home Solution’s side—Larry Barr, president
and CEO of Floors Inc. of Southlake, Texas; and Greg Kenith, president of
Flooring Design Group of Atlanta, Georgia.
Q: What is the general state of the single-family market
compared to the multi-family market?
Thostrud: Like the single-family market, the multi-family segment has been
hard hit by rising unemployment and the credit crunch. Occupancy rates are at 23
year lows and rent rolls continue to drop. We are seeing more rent concessions,
to both incentivize new prospects and to increase lease renewals with existing
residents. In addition, the anticipated “second wave” of commercial mortgage
defaults is resulting in a significant tightening of the belt by owners. We are
seeing a significant decrease in replacements, more partial units, reuse of
existing cushion, and very few rehab and capital projects.
Kenith: The single-family market is almost through three years of the recession with, I
believe, six to 12 months to go. However, the multi-family market, in my
opinion, is not nearly through and will have tougher times ahead. Multi-family
lagged behind single-family, but as the recovery starts for single-family I
believe multi-family will face a similar challenge of over-supply and lower
demand.
Hilton: We are starting to see a few new starts, but most of the action is in rehabbing
the foreclosures. As far as multi-family, we are feeling the impact of the
economy, but to a much lesser degree. Property management companies are trying
to save dollars by replacing partial units in carpet, rather than whole units,
and are holding off replacing carpet as needed until they have a tenant lined
up.
Q: In terms of the different
flooring surfaces used in the home, are you seeing any shift from some materials
toward others? Is the economy driving these changes? Are there other performance
related factors?
Barr: We
are selling more entry level products of each category than any time I can
remember. Higher end products are not being selected. In the entry level homes,
resilient is now more standard than in the past, with fewer upgrade options
available. This product is less expensive to the builders, and the manufacturers
make entry level products virtually bullet proof with strong warranties and
performance guarantees, as well as many colors for the homebuyer to choose from,
so consumers have no reason to upgrade.
Kenith: In 2006, vinyl was less than 1% of our business. And while the overall market
has shrunk, the percentage of vinyl installed by us and others has grown
dramatically, approaching 5% in 2009.
Thostrud: We are seeing more owners moving back to resilient sheet goods in
place of the vinyl planking and laminate upgrades they have used in the
past.
Hilton: We are definitely seeing an emergence of luxury vinyl tile being used in the
home instead of laminate and as an upgrade to sheet vinyl. I don’t think this is
entirely driven by the economy/cost but by product performance and
styling.
Q: Is there a movement
toward buying all of your flooring from a single supplier? If so, what is
driving that shift?
Kenith: Yes. Our philosophy has been to become a larger
fish in a smaller pond. We truly believe in aligning with the best strategic
partners when it comes to where we buy our products. So much of what we buy is
dictated by our customers (more on a national builder basis), but when we have
choices, we try to align with those that value us as a partner and not as a
number on their customer list. Supporting the FloorExpo core suppliers is also a
huge factor for us.
Thostrud: Quite the opposite, we rely more today on our core FloorExpo
suppliers who we have built great relationships with over the years. However, we
have spread our product mix and spend across those suppliers more than ever in
order to be more cost competitive for our customers and maintain acceptable
profit margins.
Barr: No, although the two largest carpet manufacturers are becoming more integral in
our development. They now manufacture and/or distribute all flooring product
categories and have very competitive prices. These companies still have a way to
go in understanding the packaging of all these products to
us.
Q: What’s happening with
price points compared to a couple of years ago?
Kenith: Our builder customers have not allowed any price increases at all. In fact, we
have reduced our prices many times in order to “help” our customers and embody
the partnership model. We have had to switch vendors, become more efficient in
our service, reduce costs through employee compensation, number of employees,
and subcontractor labor, all to maintain what we have. While some of our
material suppliers have been incredibly supportive of us in this effort, most
have unfortunately not been so cooperative.
Thostrud: Price points and margins have decreased rapidly as a result of a
more competitive marketplace. We have the same amount of competitors today all
trying to get their piece of a much smaller pie. This has required us to be much
more aggressive in our pricing models, product negotiation and expense control.
Account retention is our number one priority.
Barr: Price points have remained relatively flat. Until the manufacturers can hold the
line with the national builders with any consistency, I do not see much changing
in prices.
Hilton: Competition in the multi-family segment is greater now than in the previous
three years I have been in the industry. This is also true in the commercial
arena. Not only from the historical competitors, but from new entrants that have
primarily come from the new residential segment. I do not believe they truly
understand the nature of the multi-family segment, including the challenges of
having to carry a large amount of inventory and the necessity to support next
day installations.
Q: Are you
generally getting your flooring from the same sources? Is more of your flooring
imported?
Kenith: Most of our purchases have still been through the traditional
sources. The manufacturers and distributors we buy from, however, are importing
their products to help in their cost reductions. We still do not import anything
directly.
Barr: We
are always trying to consolidate our supply side to as few as possible, while
focusing on the FloorExpo core supply partners. Our habits have not changed
much. We import very little, and nothing for the builder
side.
Hilton: We are still buying most everything domestically, with the exception
of window covering material, but we have experienced a shift between suppliers
in some categories.
Q: Are there
differences in the use of flooring between big builders and small
builders?
Kenith: Yes, we have seen that the bigger builders are putting
tremendous pressure on the manufactures to reduce cost, and the manufacturers,
in turn, give huge rebates to these builders in efforts to secure volume and
commitment of purchase. This is one of those areas that, in my opinion, is still
very short sighted. The concept of paying the builders a fee to have them
dictate to the contractors to use their products is fraught with numerous
pitfalls. It tends to alienate the very people that write the checks to the
suppliers. It causes builders to make decisions based on rebate dollars and not
on finding the best product for the best price in their
markets.
Barr: We
see product selection based on the type of house the builder builds as opposed
to the size of the builder. All builders in the entry level model use a large
proportion of base product, regardless of the size of the builder. Mid and upper
builders do custom-buy entry level products, but far less than production
builders.
Q: Do multi-family
builders approach product differently from single-family builders?
Hilton: In new multi-family projects the unit carpet and sheet vinyl flooring, I
believe, is a lower grade than the single-family builder. In a multi-family
project all the high dollar flooring goes into the clubhouse, leasing office,
etc. There, we are installing Karastan and Durkan quality carpets, but also high
dollar imported Italian stone, mosaic tile, glass block walls, rubber tiles in
workout rooms, luxury vinyl plank, etc.
Thostrud: We are still seeing vinyl plank and laminate specifications on
project bids today. However, by the time we begin the projects, we expect many
to utilize more price competitive products. Alternates are being selected more
frequently.
Q: How have consumer
preferences changed during the recession?
Hilton: Actually, we haven’t seen a big difference in preferences. Those that
have money are still opting for the high quality selections. Those that don’t
are holding back and aren’t doing anything. Without the home equity loans
supporting the home improvement market, people are just not doing the
refurbishment.
Kenith: We are still seeing a consumer looking for “steals” and not deals. The
preferences haven’t really changed; however, their willingness to pay for them
has.
Thostrud: Our consumers, apartment owners, are doing more shopping than ever
before. There is more interest in short-term budget friendly options like
sub-FHA carpet and lower end resilient products.
Barr: With the uncertainty of the economy and tight credit lending policies, consumers
are not upgrading as in past years. In our retail stores, we see our customers
buying better products than the builder sales, although these tickets are
smaller than in the past.
Q: Has
the recession changed the way you work with installers?
Barr: We
have had to go to our installation base for concessions on labor prices. For the
most part, they understand the dynamics of the recession and are willing to work
with us to stay competitive.
Hilton: It has actually benefited us. We are finding higher quality installers that were
doing new home construction who are willing to take less for doing multi-family
work.
Kenith: We have always tried to treat our installer/providers as partners. Most of these
craftsmen live week to week and are in the same position we are as the
contractors. The weak ones have gone away and the better ones are still here. I
have seen that our quality has really improved over the past three years as a
direct result of this.
Thostrud: We have always discussed the importance of staying price competitive
with our sub-contract labor crews, but never more so than today. We have
negotiated labor reductions for certain accounts, and have sent larger projects
out to bid to our subs for them to compete for the work as
well.
Q: How has the recession
affected your margins? Are builders demanding lower prices?
Barr: Our margins suck. The builders, big and small, are playing us, the flooring
contractors, against each other for lower prices—and getting them. It’s all
about the prices in all flooring categories. We have too many flooring companies
competing in a dismal market. The suppliers continue to sell to everyone at
virtually the same price, regardless of size, strength and ability to pay. Good
service does not guarantee you will keep the business, but with bad service you
will lose it.
Kenith: Our margins have been pressured due to both the increased costs from
our suppliers and our builders demanding lower prices. The only way we have been
able to maintain a semblance of our margins is once again through reducing our
expenses, realigning our supply partners, and becoming more
efficient.
Q: Have you had to
change the way you do business with builders/property managers? For example,
have credit issues caused problems?
Thostrud: Cash is king today. We have revamped our credit application process,
and are calling on references and checking Dunn & Bradstreet ratings more
today. We have also tightened and formalized our collections policies to
eliminate some of the more discretionary elements. This has had a significant
impact on our cash flow.
Kenith: To a large extent we have been able to navigate well through these waters. While
we have had our share of issues with bad debt, we have been very fortunate to
not have had any that could have forced us to cease operations. Maintaining
strong balance sheets and lines of credit with our bankers has helped
tremendously, but no one is completely immune to these issues. We have had to
really re-evaluate who we choose to open up new credit lines with. We have
always watched who we extend credit to very closely, but now are now forced to
watch with even more scrutiny.
Barr: Credit is the key to staying alive in any market condition but more so in
today’s economy. We can deal with low margins but we must be paid and paid on
time to survive. You can’t spend enough time on receivables. We are filing liens
quicker than in the past, although I do not see this as a deterrent to doing
business.
Hilton: In the commercial space it is very important to adequately prepare a good
Schedule of Values upon which to bill and get paid to ensure you don’t have a
large exposure.
Q: Is there
interest in sustainable flooring and green homes?
Kenith: We have not seen a tremendous interest in any product or concept that
costs more money. While everyone I speak to really believes in the green story
and reducing the environmental footprint, I have not seen many who are willing
to pay more for this.
Barr: Our market has not embraced the green movement. Our builder community is only
concerned with the cost.
Hilton: It is very big for new construction projects. All the architects, designers,
etc. are focused on the LEED value for all flooring types and they will switch
from one to another solely based on LEED.
Q: Have you diversified your business during the
downturn?
Hilton: We have actually ramped up our commercial department a bit and
are focusing on public work. With the stimulus package there are a number of
public bid opportunities out there and we are targeting that segment. I’m also
currently looking at acquiring a carpet cleaning company.
Kenith: Yes. As the number of houses built and the number of customers we sell to have
shrunk, we have been fortunate to sell more products. While we used to be the
traditional flooring providers, we have added blinds, plantation shutters,
countertops, custom closet organizers, remodeling, and much more. No job is
turned away in today’s market.
Thostrud: Our company does a significant amount of multi-family, commercial
and residential window covering sales in addition to flooring. We are currently
expanding the markets to which we provide flooring, and are exploring five or
six exciting new product offerings.
Barr: We
have been heavily involved in the retail business for over 25 years. We have
also diversified into blinds, both for builders and retail
sales.
Q: What will be the
challenges as business ramps up?
Thostrud: I see two challenges, which are related. The first is we must
minimize the urge to grow overhead to accommodate revenue growth. We have
learned to do more with less and that lesson must be carried forward when times
get better. The second difficulty will be growing margins. While we have become
more efficient as an organization, we will still need to get margins back up to
more profitable levels.
Kenith: There are so many challenges ahead. As the market starts to turn, I believe we
will see more businesses fail due to the inability to fund the growth, internal
conflict, and lack of skilled installation trades. Many have gone into other
industries and no one has the time or resources to retrain and retool their
businesses. The builders will not increase their staffing and thus more of their
workload will be shifted to the subcontractors, who may not be able to respond.
We have tried to utilize technology better in an effort to do more with less,
but there is only so much that can be done.
Barr: As
the economy grows, the biggest challenge will be having enough resources to
accommodate the growth. However, I do not foresee a large month to month surge
in our business any time soon.
Hilton: I don’t see a big challenge. That will be the time to reap the rewards of timely
investment and acquisition of new employees.
Copyright 2009 Floor Focus
Related Topics:Mohawk Industries, Lumber Liquidators, FEI Group, Karastan