Millennials Holding Back Housing Recovery

Cambridge, MA, June 27, 2014 -- The U.S. housing recovery should regain its footing, but also faces a number of challenges, concludes The State of the Nation’s Housing report by the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.

Tight credit, elevated unemployment, and mounting student loan debt among young Americans are moderating growth and keeping millennials and other first-time homebuyers out of the market.

“The housing recovery is following the path of the broader economy,” says Chris Herbert, research director at the Joint Center for Housing Studies.

“As long as the economy remains on the path of slow, but steady improvement, housing should follow suit.”

Although the housing industry saw notable increases in construction, home prices, and sales in 2013, household growth has yet to fully recover from the effects of the recession.

Young Americans, saddled with higher-than-ever student loan debt and falling incomes, continue to live with their parents. Indeed, some 2.1 million more adults in their 20s lived with their parents last year, and student loan balances increased by $114 billion.

Still, given the sheer volume of young adults coming of age, the number of households in their 30s should increase by 2.7 million over the coming decade, which should boost demand for new housing.

“Ultimately, the large millennial generation will make their presence felt in the owner-occupied market,” says Daniel McCue, research manager of the Joint Center, “just as they already have in the rental market, where demand is strong, rents are rising, construction is robust, and property values increased by double digits for the fourth consecutive year in 2013.”

One key to realizing the millennials’ potential in the housing market is for the economy to grow to the point where their incomes start to rise. Another important factor is how potential GSE reform will affect the cost and availability of mortgage credit for the next generation of homebuyers, which will be the most diverse in the nation’s history.

By 2025, minorities will make up 36% of all U.S. households and 46% of those aged 25–34, thus accounting for nearly half of the typical first-time homebuyer market.



Other Archived Articles

Business Inventories Rise Less Than Expected   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 15, 2014 -- U.S. business inventories rose less than expected in August, according to the Commerce Department.

Producer Prices Decline in September   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 15, 2014 -- Producer prices in the U.S. fell in September for the first time in more than a year, according to the Labor Department.

New York Area Manufacturing Slows in October   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 15, 2014 -- Manufacturing in the New York region expanded at a much slower pace in October, according to the New York Federal Reserve.

Retail Sales Decline in September   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 15, 2014 -- U.S. retail sales fell more than expected in September, following the biggest gain in four months in August, according to the Commerce Department.

Mortgage Applications Up on Lower Rates   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 15, 2014 -- Mortgage application volume rose 5.6% last week from the previous week as interest rates fell, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Florim Opens Showroom in Moscow   Full Article
Moscow, Russia, Oct. 15, 2014 -- Tile company Florim said it has opened a new flagship store in Moscow.

Retirement Fund Files Suit Against Lumber Liquidators   Full Article
Toano, VA, Oct. 14, 2014 -- Lumber Liquidators is facing a class action law suit brought by the City of Hallandale Beach, Florida, Police Officers' and Firefighters' Personal Retirement Trust, according to the Virginia Gazette.

UFloor Systems Signs Western Distributor Big D   Full Article
Aurora, CO, Oct. 14, 2014 -- UFloor Systems has signed Big D Floor Covering Supplies to distribute its Uzin subfloor preparation products.

Mannington Raising VCT Prices in January   Full Article
Salem, NJ, Oct. 14, 2014 — Mannington Mills said it will raise prices by 4% on all of its vinyl composition tile products effective Jan. 5.

Armstrong Issues Third Quarter Warning   Full Article
New York, NY, Oct. 14, 2014 -- Armstrong World Industries became the second public flooring company to issue a third quarter profit warning.

WFCA Names New Leader of Northwest Association   Full Article
Anaheim, CA, Oct. 13, 2014 -- The World Floor Covering Association has named Tish Gasparich leader of the WFCA’s Affiliate Flooring Association Northwest(FAN).

Horizon Forest Products Moves Richmond Offices   Full Article
Richmond, VA, Oct. 13, 2014 -- Horizon Forest Products moved its Richmond offices to 4820 Eubank Road in the Interport Business Center.

Share of Custom Homes on the Decline   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 13, 2014 -- New NAHB research reveals significant regional differences in the share of custom homes started in 2013.

Self's To Distribute Novalis LVT in Midwest   Full Article
Toronto, Canada, Oct. 13, 2014 -- Wichita, Kansas-based Self’s, Inc. will now distribute luxury vinyl flooring made by Novalis Innovative Flooring.

Carpetland To Hold Annual Meeting in Chattanooga   Full Article
Chattanooga, TN, Oct. 13, 2014 -- Carpetland USA ColorTile will hold its 2014 Buying Committee meeting in Chattanooga Nov. 16-18.

Oil Prices Continue Downward Slide   Full Article
New York, NY, Oct. 10, 2014 -- Oil prices extended their free fall Friday.

Economists See Stronger 2015 Economy   Full Article
New York, NY, Oct. 10, 2014 -- Stronger job growth, increasing consumer confidence, and falling oil prices should aid the economic expansion next year, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Tarkett Holding Year-End Sales Promotion   Full Article
Chagrin Falls, OH, Oct. 10, 2014 -- Tarkett said it is holding its biggest sales promotion ever through the end of the year.

Karndean Promotes Hanno to Sales Director   Full Article
Export, PA, Oct. 10, 2014 -- Karndean Designflooring has promoted Tim Hanno to director of retail sales, effective immediately.

Tight Lending Standards Still Hurting Home Builders   Full Article
Washington, DC, Oct. 9, 2014 -- Tight mortgage lending standards continue to affect sales for single-family builders, according to a survey released by the National Association of Home Builders.